note --
Models are imperfect, but models are useful. In the short term or the near field, weather models are useful.
are there any cultural models as software -- put a small mobile wind generator into a model of a refugee camp in Chad, run the model. see what happens. modeling cultural factors as code -- kinship, economics, sex & gender... how will factor x play in cultural situation Z...
then the model, the outcomes, used as rough sketches which real world experience and data from life on the ground must modify. then, then, you've got a better guess about how that generator is going to play out in the camp, maybe know what problems to look for and head off.

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